Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#236
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#248
Pace77.4#24
Improvement+5.4#16

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#236
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.8#141

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#236
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+4.7#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2017 53   @ Davidson L 81-108 7%     0 - 1 -14.4 +6.3 +6.3
  Nov 18, 2017 235   Campbell W 88-84 61%     1 - 1 -3.2 -3.6 -3.6
  Nov 24, 2017 55   Loyola Chicago L 78-102 10%     1 - 2 -14.5 +4.7 +4.7
  Nov 25, 2017 155   Valparaiso L 70-79 30%     1 - 3 -8.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Nov 30, 2017 286   @ East Carolina L 88-93 OT 50%     1 - 4 -9.4 -2.2 -2.2
  Dec 10, 2017 59   @ LSU L 84-97 7%     1 - 5 -1.1 +6.0 +6.0
  Dec 13, 2017 88   @ UNC Greensboro L 58-71 11%     1 - 6 -4.1 +4.4 +4.4
  Dec 17, 2017 95   Furman L 84-90 26%     1 - 7 -3.8 +1.1 +1.1
  Dec 21, 2017 172   North Dakota St. L 63-100 35%     1 - 8 -37.4 -0.2 -0.2
  Dec 22, 2017 335   Howard L 75-80 81%     1 - 9 -18.6 -6.8 -6.8
  Dec 30, 2017 241   Delaware L 56-58 63%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -9.7 -3.9 -3.9
  Jan 02, 2018 243   Drexel W 107-87 63%     2 - 10 1 - 1 +12.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Jan 05, 2018 163   @ Towson L 71-89 23%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -14.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 07, 2018 241   @ Delaware L 76-96 40%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -21.7 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 11, 2018 242   @ Elon W 80-78 OT 40%     3 - 12 2 - 3 +0.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 13, 2018 102   Northeastern L 77-81 OT 27%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -2.1 +0.9 +0.9
  Jan 18, 2018 114   @ College of Charleston L 76-80 15%     3 - 14 2 - 5 +2.7 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 20, 2018 163   Towson W 73-71 OT 43%     4 - 14 3 - 5 -0.6 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 25, 2018 226   James Madison W 71-68 59%     5 - 14 4 - 5 -3.8 -3.4 -3.4
  Jan 27, 2018 159   William & Mary L 81-84 42%     5 - 15 4 - 6 -5.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Feb 01, 2018 149   @ Hofstra L 76-96 21%     5 - 16 4 - 7 -16.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 03, 2018 102   @ Northeastern L 100-107 OT 13%     5 - 17 4 - 8 +0.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 10, 2018 149   Hofstra W 90-70 41%     6 - 17 5 - 8 +18.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 13, 2018 226   @ James Madison L 61-62 36%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -1.8 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 15, 2018 242   Elon W 87-63 63%     7 - 18 6 - 9 +16.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Feb 17, 2018 114   College of Charleston L 74-88 31%     7 - 19 6 - 10 -13.3 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 22, 2018 159   @ William & Mary L 83-96 22%     7 - 20 6 - 11 -9.4 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 24, 2018 243   @ Drexel W 83-82 40%     8 - 20 7 - 11 -0.7 -0.9 -0.9
  Mar 04, 2018 149   Hofstra W 93-88 30%     9 - 20 +6.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Mar 05, 2018 102   Northeastern L 52-79 19%     9 - 21 -22.1 +2.4 +2.4
Projected Record 9.0 - 21.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%